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Estill County
Residents 14,002Deaths 2024 1–2Deaths 2015–2024 16Latest data year 2024
FARS data are based on police crash reports and other sources; the drunk-driving measure is based on the highest BAC of any driver in the crash. Latest data year: 2024. Figures are aggregates from NHTSA's Fatality Analysis Reporting System; no individual crash is identified.
NHTSA's FARS file lists 16 people killed in 16 fatal crashes in Estill County, Kentucky, between 2015 and 2024, fewer than three of them in 2024.
With 14,002 residents, that is 11.3 deaths per 100,000 people a year over the ten years, 34% lower than the Kentucky rate of 17.1 and close to the national rate of 11.8. The rate rests on very few deaths and can double or halve with a single crash; through traffic on a route that passes a small population raises it further.
Counts this small move a lot from year to year, so the page shows ten-year totals and five-year bins rather than single years; 2005–2014 had 31 deaths.
Of the factors FARS records, the one that stands furthest above the state share here is alcohol (a driver reported as drinking): 31.3% against 25.3% for Kentucky.
38% of the county's fatal crashes happened between noon to 6pm, and Saturday was the most common day (38%).
Trend since 1975
Ten-year total down 48% (31 in 2005–2014, 16 in 2015–2024). The shaded band is the ten-year window used for rates and shares. County codes are matched to today's Census county list; a few historic code changes are merged.
Compared with Kentucky and the nation
| Measure | Estill | Kentucky | United States |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deaths per 100,000 residents a year, 2015–2024 | 11.3 | 17.1 | 11.8 |
| Deaths per 100,000 residents, 2024 | 7.1 | 15.4 | 11.5 |
| Deaths, 2015–2024 | 16 | 7,684 | 389,190 |
| Fatal crashes, 2015–2024 | 16 | 7,075 | 358,460 |
| Deaths per fatal crash | 1.0 | 1.1 | 1.1 |
| Change vs previous ten years | -48% | -3% | +7% |
| Crashes on rural roads | 100% | 66% | 43% |
Rates divide deaths by Census Bureau population estimates for each year (residents, not road users; through traffic on major routes raises the rate of small counties). Population 14,002 in 2024.
Factors
"Alcohol" counts crashes where police reported at least one driver as drinking (FARS DR_DRINK), not the BAC-based alcohol-impaired measure NHTSA publishes separately. "Speeding" counts crashes with a driver coded as racing, exceeding the limit or too fast for conditions. Details in the methodology. Factor pages: alcohol, speeding, pedestrians, motorcycles, unrestrained occupants.
Time of day and day of week
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Fatal crashes in Estill County by weekday and hour, 2015–2024: darker cells are busier. 16 crashes with a known hour and weekday.
By weekday
Light condition
Road type
FHWA functional classes as coded in FARS (FUNC_SYS), share of fatal crashes with a reported class; tick marks the Kentucky share. Interstates and other principal arterials carry the most traffic, so a high share there is expected. See what the road classes mean.
Weather
Routes with the most fatal crashes in Estill
| # | Route | Type | In county | Fatal crashes | Deaths | Alcohol | Speeding |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | State Route 52 | State highway | 3 | 24 | 27 | 33% | 8% |
Signed routes (Interstate, US and state highways) that have a page on this site, ranked by fatal crashes in this county over 2015–2024; "fatal crashes" and "deaths" columns are the statewide totals for the route. Local streets and county roads are not listed.
Questions and answers
How many people died in crashes in Estill County, Kentucky?
fewer than three people died in fewer than three fatal crashes in 2024; 6 over 2020–2024 and 16 over 2015–2024, according to NHTSA's Fatality Analysis Reporting System.
How does Estill compare with Kentucky?
11.3 deaths per 100,000 residents a year over 2015–2024, against 17.1 for Kentucky and 11.8 nationally. Rates use Census Bureau population estimates.
What share of fatal crashes in Estill involved alcohol?
31.3% of fatal crashes in 2015–2024 had at least one driver reported by police as drinking, against 25.3% in Kentucky. The factor furthest above the state share was alcohol (a driver reported as drinking) at 31.3%.
Which roads in Estill see the most fatal crashes?
Among signed routes with a page on this site, State Route 52 (3 fatal crashes in the county, 2015–2024).
When do fatal crashes happen in Estill?
Most often between noon to 6pm (38% of crashes) and on Saturdays (38%); 37.5% happened after dark.
Where does this data come from?
NHTSA's Fatality Analysis Reporting System annual files (1975–2024) and Census Bureau county population estimates. Figures are aggregates; no individual crash is identified. See the methodology page for definitions.
Provenance
Source: National Highway Traffic Safety Administration, Fatality Analysis Reporting System, annual national CSV files 1975–2024 (accident table for every year; vehicle and person tables for 2015–2024), public domain. Population: US Census Bureau, Population Estimates Program, county totals (vintages 2000–2010, 2010–2020 and 2020–2024). Data through 31 Dec 2024; page generated 30 Sep 2026. Processing errors are corrected at the next build; see corrections and sources.